FOOTBALL Argentina Liga Profesional

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza

vs

Newell's Old Boys

October 12, 2026 October 12, 2026 21:30

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
60%
Value vs odds
+18pp
Value
Stake
2/5
Risk
High
Variance

Explanation

In the matchup between Gimnasia Mendoza and Newell's Old Boys, both teams come in with differing trajectories. Gimnasia has performed decently at home, yet statistics indicate that Newell's Old Boys are more likely to secure a victory this time around.

The probability model suggests a 60% chance of an away win, while the odds reflect an implied probability of 42%. This reveals an edge of 18% in favor of the away side, indicating that the odds available might be more favorable than what statistical performance would typically justify.

However, there’s a risk to consider: while Newell's Old Boys have shown solid form in recent matches, playing away adds a layer of uncertainty. Their away game results have been mixed, raising questions about their ability to clinch all three points in this encounter. Thus, despite the model pointing in a positive direction, it's crucial to acknowledge the nuances that could affect the final outcome.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Newell's Old Boys draw no bet

Odds 2.38

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Last updated on October 11, 2026