FOOTBALL México Liga de Expansion MX

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

CD Tapatio

Tepatitlán de Morelos

October 13, 2026 October 13, 2026 23:00

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Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Value

Model prob.

62%

Source

Values

Kelly criterion

Stake

2/5

Risk

High

Variance

Explanation

La jornada de la Liga de Expansión MX tendrá como protagonistas a CD Tapatío y Tepatitlán de Morelos en el Estadio Guadalajara el 28 de septiembre de 2026. CD Tapatío se encuentra en la séptima posición con 14 puntos, mientras que Tepatitlán de Morelos ocupa el lugar dieciséis con solo 3 puntos acumulados.

This selection appears in values because the current relationship between probability and price still implies positive expected value according to the Kelly criterion.

If the odds move sharply, the value can disappear. Treat it as informational guidance and compare it against current market prices before betting.

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Last updated on September 28, 2026