FOOTBALL Países Bajos Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Roda Kerkrade Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

VVV Venlo

vs

Roda Kerkrade

October 4, 2026 October 4, 2026 14:30

Recommended pick

Quick indicators to understand this match more clearly.

Model prob.
77%
Value vs odds
+11.2pp
Value
Stake
3/5
Risk
Medium
Variance

Explanation

The Limburg Derby between VVV Venlo and Roda Kerkrade looks set to be an intriguing match in the Eerste Divisie. Both teams are level on points, with VVV Venlo sitting in fourth and Roda Kerkrade in fifth. In recent performances, Venlo holds a slight edge, having recorded 5 victories in their last 8 matches. However, the head-to-head record favors Roda, which has won 12 of their previous 24 encounters.

The forecast suggests a 77% chance for Roda Kerkrade to avoid defeat in this matchup, supported by a 1.52 odds. This translates to an 11.2% edge over the market's implied probability of 65.8%. Roda’s tendency to draw 50% of their last 6 games indicates they are well-positioned to earn points in this match, even though their away performance could be affected by unpredictable factors.

It’s essential to remember that while the data is strong, such derbies can often produce surprises. The inherent uncertainty of football, especially in tightly contested matches, adds to the intrigue. Nevertheless, considering current trends, the option to bet on x2 appears to be a thoughtful choice.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Roda Kerkrade or draw

Odds 1.52

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Last updated on October 2, 2026