FOOTBALL Inglaterra FA Cup

Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Dartford

vs

Hayes & Yeading

September 19, 2026 September 19, 2026 14:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
89%
Value vs odds
+5.7pp
Value
Stake
4/5
Risk
Low
Variance

Explanation

The match between Dartford and Hayes & Yeading in the FA Cup is shaping up to be intriguing, particularly given the competitive atmosphere. Dartford boasts a solid home performance, while Hayes & Yeading has shown remarkable form in recent games. These elements could potentially impact the number of cards issued during the match.

The statistical model suggests an 89% likelihood that the total number of cards will be under 4.5, with odds of 1.2. This analysis positions the selection as a favorable option, presenting a slight advantage of 0.057 over market expectations. The strong defensive strategies from both teams may contribute to a lower incidence of bookings, aligning with the model's projections.

Nevertheless, it’s essential to keep the risks in mind. Even with a robust dataset, football remains unpredictable, and external factors could alter the match dynamics. Refereeing decisions and the intensity of the game might increase the likelihood of cards, meaning this promising option should be approached with caution.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Under 4.5 yellow cards

Odds 1.2

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Last updated on September 15, 2026