FOOTBALL Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA-Sofia Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv

vs

CSKA-Sofia

August 6, 2026 August 6, 2026 17:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
67%
Value vs odds
+11.8pp
Value
Stake
2/5
Risk
High
Variance

Explanation

The match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA-Sofia is intriguing within the context of the Europa League. Both teams arrive with different dynamics: Maccabi has faced difficulties on their home soil, recording several losses, while CSKA seems to have found a bit more stability, demonstrating acceptable performances in their recent matches.

The probability model supports the option of over 9.5 corners, indicating a 67% chance that this threshold will be surpassed. This figure is notably higher than the implied probability from the odds, which stands at 55%, providing an adjusted edge of 11.75%. This suggests that the value of this bet may be appealing based on the available data.

However, it's essential to acknowledge certain risks. Even with solid data, the unpredictable nature of a football match could lead to surprises, such as an encounter that does not progress offensively, thus impacting the number of corners. The competitive atmosphere of the Europa League can also affect team performance, introducing a greater level of uncertainty.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Over 9.5 corners

Odds 1.81

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on July 31, 2026