FOOTBALL Laliga

Getafe vs Real Mallorca Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Getafe

vs

Real Mallorca

May 13, 2026 May 13, 2026 21:30

Recommended pick

Quick indicators to understand this match more clearly.

Risk: High
Model prob.
60%
Value vs odds
+4.4pp
Value
Stake
2/5

Explanation

The match between Getafe and Real Mallorca unfolds in an intriguing context, considering both teams are positioned differently in the LaLiga table. Getafe sits in seventh place with 45 points and has shown solid performance at home, securing 3 victories in their last 6 home matches. Conversely, Mallorca, in 17th place with 39 points, has struggled away from home, losing 67% of their last 6 away games.

Examining the estimated probabilities, Getafe appears to have a 60% chance of winning, compared to the offered 1.8 odds, highlighting a potentially interesting value. While there isn’t an explicit edge in this assessment, the gap between the model's probability and the implicit one in the odds suggests the home team is in a favorable position. The analysis indicates a 42% probability of victory for Getafe, supporting the notion of them being a reasonable choice.

However, it’s important to acknowledge possible risks. Despite solid data, there remains an inherent uncertainty in sports, as performance can vary in any given match. Additionally, the pressure of playing at home might impact their performance. Nevertheless, recent statistics lean toward Getafe securing the win in this encounter.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Getafe draw no bet

Odds 1.8

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Last updated on May 13, 2026