FOOTBALL Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Nice Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Auxerre

vs

Nice

May 10, 2026 May 10, 2026 21:00

Recommended pick

Quick indicators to understand this match more clearly.

Risk: High
Model prob.
60%
Value vs odds
+24.9pp
Value
Stake
2/5

Explanation

The match between Auxerre and Nice presents an intriguing clash, with both teams vying for crucial points in Ligue 1. Auxerre currently sits in sixteenth place in the standings and has shown inconsistent form, while Nice is just above them, adding a competitive edge to the encounter. Home advantage is always a factor, but the recent performances of both teams have raised questions about their ability to dominate the game.

The model leans towards an 'away' selection with a 60% probability, indicating a 24.9% edge over the implied odds of around 35%. This discrepancy suggests the market may be underestimating Nice's chances. With odds set at 2.85, there appears to be value in supporting this option.

Nevertheless, there are inherent uncertainties surrounding the match. Limited context about each team's current conditions could lead to variability in the final outcome. Auxerre's recent losing streak puts pressure on them to enhance their performance, warranting caution. Additionally, their recent head-to-head history, which features multiple draws, implies that securing a victory for Nice might not be straightforward. Considering all these factors, it's advisable to keep an eye on the situation, while also acknowledging the associated risks.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Nice +0.5

Odds 2.85

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Last updated on May 9, 2026