FOOTBALL Premier League

Fulham vs Bournemouth Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Fulham

vs

Bournemouth

May 9, 2026 May 9, 2026 16:00

Recommended pick

Quick indicators to understand this match more clearly.

Risk: High
Model prob.
65.1%
Value vs odds
+16.6pp
Value
Stake
2/5

Explanation

In this Premier League matchup, Fulham is set to face Bournemouth at Craven Cottage. Currently in 11th place, Fulham has shown solid form at home, winning 67% of their recent home games. On the other hand, Bournemouth sits in 6th place and, despite a mixed performance, has secured three victories in their last six outings.

The analysis model indicates a 65.08% probability of a Bournemouth victory, contrasting with the implied probability from betting odds, which stands at 48.54%. This results in an adjusted edge of about 11.60%, suggesting that the odds offered present a compelling case for backing the visitors as potential winners in this match.

That said, there are certain risks to consider. Historical head-to-head results favor Bournemouth, who have won 67% of their recent matches against Fulham. Additionally, the unpredictable nature of sports means that fluctuations in both teams' performances could affect the outcome. Nevertheless, the data and analysis provide a robust foundation for considering this bet.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Bournemouth draw no bet

Odds 2.06

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits.

Last updated on May 7, 2026