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Almere City vs De Graafschap Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Almere City

vs

De Graafschap

May 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 16:45

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
60%
Value vs odds
+15.9pp
Value
Stake
2/5

Explanation

The clash between Almere City and De Graafschap is poised to be exciting. Almere City has displayed solid home performance, securing 4 wins in their last 6 home matches. Meanwhile, De Graafschap has maintained a 50% win rate in their recent outings. Statistical analysis shows that De Graafschap has a notable probability of winning, reaching 42% according to the model.

The model's evaluation indicates a 0.6 probability for an away victory, translating to odds of 2.27. This results in a positive edge of 0.159, suggesting that backing De Graafschap could be a worthwhile option. The figures support the notion that the visiting team may be favored in this matchup.

However, it is crucial to acknowledge certain risks. Variability in team performance and unforeseen factors during the match are elements to take into account. While the data is promising, there is always a chance that unexpected circumstances may arise. Therefore, a cautious approach with a moderate investment is recommended to manage potential risks.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

De Graafschap draw no bet

Odds 2.27

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Last updated on May 6, 2026