FOOTBALL Ligue 1

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Lille

vs

Le Havre

May 3, 2026 May 3, 2026 13:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
62%
Value vs odds
+10.7pp
Value
Stake
2/5

Explanation

The upcoming match between Lille and Le Havre in Ligue 1 will take place at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille currently sits in third place with a solid performance, accumulating 57 points. In contrast, Le Havre finds itself in a mid-table position and has shown a tendency for draws, indicating their matches are often more balanced and tend to feature fewer goals.

The analysis suggests a 62% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored, based on the odds of 1.95 and an adjusted edge of 0.107. This implies there is notable value in the "under" bet, as the implied probability from the odds stands at 51%, which supports this selection.

Despite these statistics, it's essential to keep in mind the inherent risks. Football results can be unpredictable. Both teams may adapt based on the match's flow, and a pivotal moment could shift the dynamics, potentially leading to more goals than anticipated. While the data favors the assessment, staying alert for unforeseen outcomes is crucial.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 1.95

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on April 28, 2026