FOOTBALL España Copa del Rey

AE Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

AE Prat

vs

Ibiza Sant Rafel

October 4, 2026 October 4, 2026 14:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
73%
Value vs odds
+9.3pp
Value
Stake
3/5
Risk
Medium
Variance

Explanation

The match between AE Prat and Ibiza Sant Rafel is shaping up to be an intriguing encounter in the Copa del Rey. Both teams come with their own set of challenges. AE Prat has had an inconsistent season, while Ibiza Sant Rafel has struggled significantly in their away games. These factors can influence the game’s dynamics, particularly in how opportunities are created and the resulting corners.

Statistics suggest there is a 73% likelihood of fewer than 9.5 corners being awarded during the match, according to the model. The odds of 1.57 indicate moderate value, suggesting that the market reflects the probabilities accurately. This edge of 9.3% is favorable and lends support to the selection in a match where the pace might not be intense enough to lead to a high number of corners.

However, it’s crucial to consider certain risks. While the model relies on data, uncertainty is always present in football. The tactics chosen by the coaches or unforeseen circumstances could influence the total number of corners. Thus, even though the trend points toward an 'under,' the performance of each team could alter this outlook.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Under 9.5 corners

Odds 1.57

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Last updated on October 3, 2026