FOOTBALL España Copa del Rey

Ibiza Sant Rafel vs AE Prat Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Ibiza Sant Rafel

vs

AE Prat

September 27, 2026 September 27, 2026 14:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
60%
Value vs odds
+19.5pp
Value
Stake
2/5
Risk
High
Variance

Explanation

The match between Ibiza Sant Rafel and AE Prat is set to take place at the Municipal Stadium of Sant Rafel as part of the Copa del Rey. Both teams have been inconsistent in their recent performances, with Ibiza suffering 20 losses in 40 matches and AE Prat also struggling, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. This context creates a scenario where neither team appears to hold a clear advantage going into the game.

The model favors the visiting team, AE Prat, giving them a 60% chance of success against odds of 2.47. This results in a 19.5% edge, indicating that the market odds do not fully reflect the visitor's potential for victory. With the model showing a slight edge for AE Prat, this selection is grounded in the analyzed parameters.

However, it is important to acknowledge the genuine risks involved, as the uncertainty in both teams' performances could significantly impact the outcome. AE Prat has demonstrated weaknesses, particularly in away matches. While the analysis presents an optimistic view, the knockout format can always bring surprises, suggesting a cautious approach to this wager.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

AE Prat draw no bet

Odds 2.47

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Last updated on September 26, 2026