FOOTBALL Países Bajos Eerste Divisie

Roda Kerkrade vs Waalwijk Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Roda Kerkrade

vs

Waalwijk

September 26, 2026 September 26, 2026 18:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
79%
Value vs odds
+11.4pp
Value
Stake
3/5
Risk
Medium
Variance

Explanation

The upcoming match between Roda Kerkrade and Waalwijk will take place at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Currently, Roda Kerkrade sits in eighth place with 12 points, while Waalwijk is slightly ahead in fourth with 13 points. Both teams have exhibited similar competitiveness recently, with Roda achieving 3 victories in their last 6 matches, indicating solid form.

The analytical model suggests a strong likelihood that the result will lean towards Waalwijk or end in a draw, estimating a 79% chance for a double chance (x2). This corresponds to odds of 1.48, presenting a positive edge for this selection, especially when considering the disparity between the model’s probability and the implied probability of the odds (67.57%).

Nonetheless, there remains a margin of uncertainty in football. While the data is comprehensive and reliable, the on-field performance of the teams can be affected by various unpredictable factors, which can shift throughout the match. Even so, opting for a bet on x2 seems like a reasonable choice in this context.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Waalwijk or draw

Odds 1.48

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on September 24, 2026