FOOTBALL Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Werder Bremen

Augsburg

May 2, 2026 May 2, 2026 13:30

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Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.

56%

Value vs odds

+22.7pp

Value

Stake

2/5

Explanation

The matchup between Werder Bremen and Augsburg in the Bundesliga presents an intriguing opportunity. Currently, Werder Bremen sits in twelfth place with 32 points, while Augsburg is ninth with 37, indicating a slight difference in performance so far. However, both teams have shown some inconsistency, particularly Augsburg, which has suffered three losses in its last six away games.

The model favors Augsburg with a +0.25 handicap, offering odds of 3.0 and an implied probability of 33.33%. With a model probability of success at 56%, there’s an adjusted edge of 22.67%, suggesting that the odds available are favorable in comparison to the team’s expected performance.

However, it’s important to consider certain risks. Both teams can be unpredictable, and despite the statistics supporting Augsburg, their away form has been less than impressive. Staying alert to changes in lineups or match conditions that could impact the final outcome will be essential.