FOOTBALL NPL Queensland

Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar U21 Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Moreton City Excelsior

vs

Brisbane Roar U21

April 25, 2026 April 25, 2026 08:00

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Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Value
Model prob.
77%
Source
Values
Kelly criterion
Stake
3/5

Explanation

Moreton City Excelsior and Brisbane Roar U21 meet in NPL Queensland in a fixture that enters the daily value shortlist. Model probability is 77%. The setup favours a home win for Moreton City Excelsior.

This selection appears in values because the current relationship between probability and price still implies positive expected value according to the Kelly criterion.

If the odds move sharply, the value can disappear. Treat it as informational guidance and compare it against current market prices before betting.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Moreton City Excelsior

Odds 1.33

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on April 24, 2026