FOOTBALL Laliga

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Mallorca Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Deportivo Alavés

Real Mallorca

April 25, 2026 April 25, 2026 12:00

View bet slip

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.

70%

Value vs odds

+10.1pp

Value

Stake

3/5

Explanation

The match between Deportivo Alavés and Real Mallorca is essential for both teams, as they currently sit near the bottom of the LaLiga standings. Alavés, in 18th place, is striving to escape the relegation zone, while Mallorca, positioned 15th, is looking to distance itself from danger. The urgency to secure points adds a tense and competitive atmosphere to the encounter. Both teams have shown inconsistent performances lately, implying that the match could be closely contested, potentially favoring the home side or ending in a draw.

The model indicates a 70% likelihood that Alavés will not lose, with odds of 1.67, presenting a 10% edge over the market's implied probability (59.88%). This suggests that the odds favor Alavés or a draw, pointing to solid value in the recommended selection. Given their recent matched history, opting for a double chance on Alavés seems reasonable and justified.

However, there are risks to consider. The inherent uncertainty of league matches can greatly impact the final outcome, and despite the model's optimism, individual errors or unexpected refereeing decisions could change on-field performances. Nonetheless, betting on Alavés or a draw appears to be an intriguing opportunity based on the available data.