FOOTBALL Brasil Brasileiro Serie A

Santos vs Fluminense Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Santos

vs

Fluminense

April 19, 2026 April 19, 2026 19:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Model prob.
71%
Value vs odds
-5.9pp
No value
Stake
3/5

Explanation

The matchup between Santos and Fluminense is set to be intriguing, as both teams are navigating different circumstances in the Serie A standings. Santos, currently in 15th place, aims to improve their situation, while Fluminense sits firmly in 4th. Looking at recent history, Santos has secured 4 home victories in their last 6 matches, which gives them a slight edge, although they have lost half of their previous encounters against Fluminense.

The analysis favors the double chance option due to its odds. With a 71% probability according to the model and odds of 1.3, there seems to be a modest advantage to exploit in this market. The implied probability of 76.92% also supports this choice, considering the current performance of both teams, especially at Santos' home ground.

However, it’s important to remain cautious. The inconsistency in team performance from match to match, along with both sides striving for their goals, can lead to uncertainties. This analysis relies on solid data, but the actual performance and circumstances on match day could affect how the game unfolds, potentially altering initial forecasts.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Either team wins

Odds 1.3

Other predictions

All predictions

Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on April 13, 2026