FOOTBALL Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Bologna

vs

Lazio

March 22, 2026 · 15:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Risk: High
Model prob.
38%
Value vs odds
+4.7pp
Value
Stake
4/5

Explanation

The match between Bologna and Lazio is expected to be quite balanced, with both teams closely positioned in the Serie A standings. Bologna, currently in 8th place, sits just 2 points ahead of Lazio, who is 9th. This proximity in the rankings suggests a competitive showdown. Furthermore, Bologna has shown solid form recently, achieving 4 victories in their last 6 matches, while Lazio has been prone to draws, with 4 in their last 6 outings.

The prediction model leans towards a draw, assigning a 38% probability to this outcome. This figure is notably higher than the 31.38% implied by the 3.0 odds offered by betting agencies. With a positive edge of around 6.6%, it presents a reasonable consideration for this wager. Nonetheless, the performance of both teams could be impacted by various factors, introducing a moderate level of risk in this assessment.

It's essential to note that while statistical models can provide insights, there's always uncertainty in sports, especially in tightly contested matches. The quality of play on the specific day, along with any external influences, could significantly affect the final result.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Draw

Odds 3

Other predictions

All predictions

Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on March 18, 2026