FOOTBALL Premiership

Hearts vs Dundee Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Hearts

vs

Dundee

March 21, 2026 · 16:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Risk: Low
Model prob.
82%
Value vs odds
-0.6pp
No value
Stake
4/5

Explanation

In an exciting Scottish Premiership clash, Hearts stands out as the clear favorite against Dundee. With 63 points, Hearts leads the table, while their opponent sits in eighth place with only 32 points. Recent history supports Hearts, who have won 4 of their last 6 home matches, showcasing their strong form at Tynecastle. Head-to-head results also favor Hearts, with 26 wins out of 46 encounters against Dundee in the league.

The model used assigns Hearts an 82% probability of avoiding defeat in this match, reflected in the odds of 1.21 for the double chance (1x) option. This suggests a slight advantage for the home side, providing a reasonable opportunity for a low-risk bet. The model's edge is finely tuned to 0, indicating that the odds closely match the estimated probability.

However, it's crucial to acknowledge that Dundee possesses the ability to spring a surprise, despite their poor away record, having lost 10 of their 19 matches on the road. Uncertainty is ever-present in football; a poor performance from Hearts or an outstanding display from Dundee could shift the expected outcome. Still, the likelihood of Hearts winning or drawing remains high, making it a sensible option.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Hearts or draw

Odds 1.21

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Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on March 17, 2026