FOOTBALL Premiership

Falkirk FC vs St Mirren Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Falkirk FC

vs

St Mirren

March 21, 2026 · 16:00

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Risk: High
Model prob.
53%
Value vs odds
+1.7pp
Value
Stake
3/5

Explanation

The match between Falkirk FC and St Mirren is set to take place at Falkirk Stadium and looks to be an intriguing clash in the Scottish Premiership. Falkirk currently sits in sixth place with 43 points, while St Mirren is positioned tenth with 24 points. Reviewing their recent head-to-heads, Falkirk has secured victories in 50% of their last six encounters against St Mirren, hinting at a slight edge for the home team.

Statistical models suggest a 53% probability of victory for Falkirk, with odds at 1.95. This gives an adjusted edge of 4.77%, indicating that while the market's implied probability stands lower at 48.23%, analysis supports the home team’s solid foundation for success. With a recent win rate of 50%, backing Falkirk seems reasonable.

However, it’s essential to keep in mind certain risks. Football can be unpredictable, and St Mirren should not be underestimated as they have the potential to cause an upset. The limited data from previous matchups can also introduce uncertainty, so approaching the match with caution and readiness for any eventuality is advisable.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Falkirk FC to win

Odds 1.95

Other predictions

All predictions

Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on March 16, 2026