FOOTBALL Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Borussia Dortmund

vs

Augsburg

March 14, 2026 · 15:30

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Risk: Medium
Model prob.
70.5%
Value vs odds
+5.6pp
Value
Stake
4/5

Explanation

In this Bundesliga matchup, Borussia Dortmund will take on Augsburg at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK. Currently sitting in second place, Dortmund has showcased solid performance with 21 wins this season. Conversely, Augsburg is in ninth place, reflecting a more inconsistent journey. The points gap and the home advantage certainly tilt the scales in favor of Dortmund.

The prediction model gives Dortmund a 70.5% chance of winning this match, equating to an odds value of 1.54. When comparing the implied probability of 64.9% against the model's estimate, there appears to be a positive margin. This suggests that the betting angle is relatively favorable, providing some assurance that the analysis has a foundation.

Nonetheless, risks are ever-present. The inherent uncertainty in football can greatly affect the performance of both teams. It's worth noting that the available data is comprehensive, allowing for more accurate assessments. However, unexpected events can unfold during the match, making caution advisable.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Borussia Dortmund to win

Odds 1.54

Other predictions

All predictions

Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on March 10, 2026