FOOTBALL UEFA Europa League

Bologna vs Roma Prediction: recommended pick & analysis

Bologna

vs

Roma

March 12, 2026 · 18:45

Model signals

Quick model signals for this match.

Risk: High
Model prob.
39%
Value vs odds
+6.7pp
Value
Stake
4/5

Explanation

The matchup between Bologna and Roma in the Europa League presents an intriguing scenario, as both teams exhibit similar performances. The forecast suggests that the likelihood of a draw stands at 39%, indicating a closely contested game where defensive strategies may take precedence. With odds of 3.1 for a draw, this represents an appealing value in the market.

The model used supports this choice, showing a narrow edge of 0.089. This points out that although the implied probability of a draw is about 30%, there’s a margin favoring the draw that might justify considering it as a reasonable betting option. The 3.1 odds provide a notable return when accounting for the calculated probability.

However, certain risks must be acknowledged. While both teams are typically competitive, the atmosphere of the match and the dynamics of a European encounter can introduce uncertain elements. The limited data regarding precise statistics might also lead to previously unconsidered variables coming into play. It’s important to note that despite the favorable odds and probabilities, the outcome of the match can vary significantly.

Bet slip

Our pick

Prediction

Draw

Odds 3.1

Other predictions

All predictions

Informational content. No guarantee of profits. Please bet responsibly.

Last updated on March 10, 2026